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Statistics · step 6 of 13

Sampling, bias & the sampling distribution

A statistic computed from a sample varies from sample to sample, and its distribution across all possible samples is the sampling distribution. For the sample mean, E[x̄] = μ and SD(x̄) = σ/√n — the standard error. That √n is the fundamental economics of statistics: quadrupling the sample size only halves the uncertainty.

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Method: how to approach it

The order below is what examiners expect to see, and each step carries its own marks.

  1. Identify the sampling methodSimple random, stratified, cluster, systematic, or convenience. Only probability samples support inference.
  2. Look for biasSelection bias, non-response bias and measurement bias each push estimates in a systematic direction that a bigger sample will not fix.
  3. Compute the standard errorSE = σ/√n for a mean, or √(p(1−p)/n) for a proportion.
  4. State the sampling distributionx̄ ~ N(μ, σ²/n) exactly for normal data, and approximately for large n by the CLT.

Worked example

A population has μ = 50 and σ = 12. Describe the distribution of x̄ for samples of size 36.

  1. The mean of the sampling distribution is E[x̄] = μ = 50.
  2. The standard error is σ/√n = 12/√36.
  3. = 12/6 = 2.
  4. With n = 36 the CLT makes the distribution approximately normal.

Answer. x̄ is approximately N(50, 2²) — centred on 50 with a standard error of 2, six times tighter than individual observations.

Where marks get dropped

These are the specific errors that cost credit on sampling, bias & the sampling distribution questions — QED's rubric penalises each of them separately.

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Sampling, bias & the sampling distribution — frequently asked questions

What is the difference between σ and the standard error?

σ measures the spread of individual observations; the standard error measures the spread of the sample MEAN across repeated samples. SE = σ/√n.

Why does √n appear?

Because variances add for independent observations: Var(x̄) = Var(ΣX)/n² = nσ²/n² = σ²/n. Taking the square root gives σ/√n.

Does the population size matter?

Barely, provided the sample is a small fraction of it. A sample of 1000 works about as well for a city as for a country — the finite population correction is negligible.

The rest of Statistics

Describing data, distributions, estimation and hypothesis tests. Each subtopic below has its own method, worked example and mark-losing traps.

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